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  • Jun 5, 2026, 4:22 PM

    Soo according to Anthropic (anthropic.com/institute/recurs) they are thinking of slowing or halting frontier model development, but only if their competition does so as well and they have a nuclear-disarmament-style inspection process to verify this is the case.

    There's two possible reads on this, of course.

    The cover story is that they are worried about the models self-improving and becoming God and running away etc. Because they're vibe-coding 80% of their new stuff and model collapse is totally not a real thing.

    My preferred interpretation is that training costs are getting out of hand, they are terrified of shareholders finding out how much they are spending on training when they go public, so they want to cut back but they're afraid of falling behind and losing their edge so the only way they're willing to do so is if they can be assured the competition isn't out-spending them.

    There has to be an antitrust case here if somebody is willing to bring one (good luck in today's political climate but hey I can dream)

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  • Jun 5, 2026, 4:24 PM

    like ignoring all of the social/ethical issues around LLMs this seems a straightforward "we are going to stop R&D on our products and jack up costs to improve profitability, but only if the competition promises not to make a better cheaper product" collusion proposal.

    They're not quite openly price fixing but with how much training costs, everyone agreeing not to spend seven figures on something together has the same net effect

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