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  • Mastodon Migrationmastodonmigration@mastodon.online
    Nov 4, 2026, 3:08 PM

    NO TO SCHUMER

    Don't believe anything you read about the inevitability of Chuck Schumer becoming Majority Leader.

    You may have seen this before, but here is an analysis of Schumer support from back in August of a potential whip count for the 2027 Senate assuming the Dems won a bunch of seats. And they won even more! [The detail is in the subsequent reply.]

    Chuck Schumer does not have the votes to become Majority leader.

    mastodon.online/@mastodonmigra

    Will update this analysis when the dust settles.

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  • James M.jamesmarshall@sfba.social
    Nov 4, 2026, 7:23 PM

    @mastodonmigration agreed. Question: where did this list come from? I'd like to reference it, and I'd like to follow it in case there is an updated analysis. We need an updated analysis ASAP so we can start strategizing for the Senate Leader election within the Democrats.

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  • Mastodon Migrationmastodonmigration@mastodon.online
    Nov 4, 2026, 7:34 PM

    @jamesmarshall It came from the detail spreadsheet shown in the subsequent reply (and below).

    The 'Oppose' Senators are all people who have publicly expressed the intent to replace Schumer or waffled when asked if they will support him. The 'Support' are known 'centrists' who are likely Schumer allies.

    [Busy today, but plan on updating this tonight]

    2026, 09:15 AM Web Public 2 replies 9 quotes 13 boosts 27 likes Mastodon Migration • Aug 12 @mastodonmigration Note particularly how the recent primary victories of solid anti-Schumer progressives have changed the balance of power. Admittedly, this is somewhat speculative, and it is difficult in some cases to predict how Senators would vote, although many have either gone on record to replace Schumer or waffled about supporting him. The details of the above graph are shown below: Senate 2027 Whip Count Support Schumer (13) Coons, Chris DE Cortez Masto, Catherine NV Fetterman, John PA Gillibrand, Kirsten NY Hassan, Maggie NH Hickenlooper, John CO Kaine, Tim VA Lujan, Ben NM Reed, Jack RI Rosen, Jacky NV Schatz, Brian HI Schumer, Chuck NY Warner, Mark VA Oppose Schumer (25) Alsobrooks, Angela MD Bennet, Michael CO Blunt Rochester, Lisa DE Booker, Cory NJ Cantwell, Maria WA El-Sayed, Abdul MI Flanagan, Peggy MN Gallego, Ruben AZ Heinrich, Martin NM Hirono, Mazie HI Jackson, Troy ME Kelly, Mark AZ Kim, Andy NJ Markey, Ed MA Merkley, Jeff OR Murphy, Chris CT Murray, Patty WA Ossoff, Jon GA Sanders, Bernie VT Slotkin, Elissa MI Stratton, Juliana IL Van Hollen, Chris MD Warnock, Raphael GA Warren, Elizabeth MA Wyden, Ron OR Unknown (15) Baldwin, Tammy WI Blumenthal, Richard CT Brown, Sherrod OH Cooper, Roy NC Duckworth, Tammy IL King, Angus ME Klobuchar, Amy MN Padilla, Alex CA Pappas, Chris NH Peltola, Mary AK Schiff, Adam CA Talerico, James TX Turek, Josh IO Welch, Peter VT Whitehouse, Sheldon RI ALT Hide 0 4 11 Share Save post More Alexf24 • Aug 18 @alexf24@mstdn.social @mastodonmigration Schumer should retire and go play with this grandchildren. We have had enough of his "strongly worded letters". 0 0 1 Share Save post More You’ve reached the end of the conversation. Image description Close Senate 2027 Whip Count Support Schumer (13) Coons, Chris DE Cortez Masto, Catherine NV Fetterman, John PA Gillibrand, Kirsten NY Hassan, Maggie NH Hickenlooper, John CO Kaine, Tim VA Lujan, Ben NM Reed, Jack RI Rosen, Jacky NV Schatz, Brian HI Schumer, Chuck NY Warner, Mark VA Oppose Schumer (25) Alsobrooks, Angela MD Bennet, Michael CO Blunt Rochester, Lisa DE Booker, Cory NJ Cantwell, Maria WA El-Sayed, Abdul MI Flanagan, Peggy MN Gallego, Ruben AZ Heinrich, Martin NM Hirono, Mazie HI Jackson, Troy ME Kelly, Mark AZ Kim, Andy NJ Markey, Ed MA Merkley, Jeff OR Murphy, Chris CT Murray, Patty WA Ossoff, Jon GA Sanders, Bernie VT Slotkin, Elissa MI Stratton, Juliana IL Van Hollen, Chris MD Warnock, Raphael GA Warren, Elizabeth MA Wyden, Ron OR Unknown (15) Baldwin, Tammy WI Blumenthal, Richard CT Brown, Sherrod OH Cooper, Roy NC Duckworth, Tammy IL King, Angus ME Klobuchar, Amy MN Padilla, Alex CA Pappas, Chris NH Peltola, Mary AK Schiff, Adam CA Talerico, James TX Turek, Josh IO Welch, Peter VT Whitehouse, Sheldon RI
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