Don Martidmarti
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AMAny sufficiently high-stakes prediction market is indistinguishable from an assassination market
Replies
Aug 9, 2026, 12:09 AM@dmarti In America, assassination markets are legal… but ass markets… are illegal… it makes you think
- Don MartidmartiAug 9, 2026, 12:45 AM
@mcc there is a bill that would ban them...but it's stuck in the Committee on Agriculture (?) https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7942?s=1&r=1
- Aug 9, 2026, 12:46 AM
@dmarti Oh, I think we all know what the United States Department of Agriculture *really* does.
- Don MartidmartiAug 9, 2026, 2:27 AM
@mcc I went back and read Jim W. Bell's original "Assassination Politics" and he's all 90s libertarian, assuming the market would be used against people in government. But the temptation to apply it to executives and move stocks would be too strong to resist for many
Adam Roachadam_roach@mastodon.socialAug 9, 2026, 3:04 AM@dmarti can I wager on the results of this poll?
- Don MartidmartiAug 9, 2026, 1:09 PM
@adam_roach Yes, if you pay me a 10% oracle fee to resolve the contract if needed (the underrated missing part for prediction markets) https://blog.zgp.org/pay-the-oracle/
- Adam Roachadam_roach@mastodon.socialAug 9, 2026, 2:53 PM
@dmarti Nice. This is like a “come to office hours, get the answers to the quiz” kind of thing.