#NYwx 986
FXUS61 KBGM 141141
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
641 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Minor adjustments to PoPs, QPF, temperatures and snow amounts over
the weekend with the periodic lake effect showers and weak shortwave
disturbances moving through.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Cool, showery weather pattern continues through the weekend. A
cold northwest flow will bring on and off lake effect snow and rain https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141141-KBGM-FXUS61-AFDBGM

#MIwx 199
FXUS63 KAPX 141140
AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
640 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Lingering light rain/snow showers into at least tonight

- Milder weather expected next week, with periods of active weather
possible especially for mid to late week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 434 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

PATTERN SYNOPSIS/FORECAST:

Omega block trying to take shape over North America attm...with
continual https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141140-KAPX-FXUS63-AFDAPX

Wildfire Cam: Axis-BreckenridgePeak2 at 2026-11-14 11:36:34 https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/1854 #alertcalifornia

299
FXUS63 KEAX 141139
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
539 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

...12Z Aviation and Update...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The coldest temperatures of the season are expected this
morning with lows in the 20s across the region. A few spots in
the upper teens are possible.

- Temperatures steadily warm through the weekend (reaching the
mid 50s by Monday) with the warming trend continuing through https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141139-KEAX-FXUS63-AFDEAX

828
FXUS65 KSLC 141139
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
439 AM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Valley rain and mountain snow will continue through the morning,
before shifting to a more showery nature this afternoon and
gradually ending.

- The heaviest snow accumulations will occur across the southern
mountains, where a winter weather advisory continues through 11
AM this morning.

- Another colder storm wi https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141139-KSLC-FXUS65-AFDSLC

344
FXUS62 KCAE 141136
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
636 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation Discussion updated for 12z TAF issuance.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
- 1. Frost Advisory in effect this morning before a Freeze
Warning will be in effect late tonight into Sunday morning.

- 2. Below normal temperatures are expected to persist through
early next week, moderating by mid next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Key https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141136-KCAE-FXUS62-AFDCAE

902
FXUS64 KHGX 141136
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
536 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain and thunderstorms likely on Sunday.

- Strong to severe thunderstorms, locally heavy rain, and gusty
coastal winds will be the primary concerns on Sunday. Hazardous
marine conditions are expected.

- Colder air and strong marine winds expected Sunday night into
Monday. Gale Watch https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141136-KHGX-FXUS64-AFDHGX

855
FXUS63 KMKX 141134
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
534 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Below-normal temperatures will linger into this weekend

- High pressure and dry conditions expected through the first
half of next week along with gradually warming temperatures

- Rain chances return at times the second half of next week

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued 534 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Mostly clear skies will con https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141134-KMKX-FXUS63-AFDMKX

Wildfire Cam: Axis-WestPeak2 at 2026-11-14 11:32:33 https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2491 #alertcalifornia

#TXwx 995
FXUS64 KAMA 141133
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
533 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1136 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

- Light rain showers are expected this weekend across the
Panhandles, with embedded thunderstorms that can produce heavier
rainfall.

- Cold and breezy conditions in conjunction with the rain will
result in morning lows near freezing for Sunday and Monday.

- Cool https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141133-KAMA-FXUS64-AFDAMA

195
FXUS65 KVEF 141132
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
332 AM PST Sat Nov 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Lingering showers and breezes exit into the afternoon, leading
to calmer weather for the rest of the weekend.

* Additional precipitation and cooler weather arrives Monday and
Tuesday and again in the second half of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Through Friday

Winds are easing across much of the region with a few favored
p https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141132-KVEF-FXUS65-AFDVEF

629
FXUS63 KDTX 141133
AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
633 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A narrow corridor of lake effect rain showers (briefly mixed with
melting snow) persists today and tonight, mainly along the southern
Lake Huron shoreline.

- Mostly cloudy skies expected elsewhere through the weekend.

- Brisk morning winds drop wind chills into the 20s (isolated upper
teens), followed by similar cond https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141133-KDTX-FXUS63-AFDDTX

#NYwx 532
FXUS61 KALY 141130
AFDALY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
630 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) With an upper level disturbance overhead, spotty light rain
and snow showers will pass through the region this weekend, but
impacts will be minimal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A large upper level trough is currently located over the
Northeast. The main upper https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141130-KALY-FXUS61-AFDALY

Wildfire Cam: Axis-RanchoCucamongaFTC1 at 2026-11-14 11:29:46 https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/4704 #alertcalifornia

Wildfire Cam: Axis-KHAY2 at 2026-11-14 11:27:48 https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2303 #alertcalifornia

#MEwx 764
FXUS61 KGYX 141127
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
627 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
500mb trough is in the process of crossing through the area, and
as a result some decent returns are showing up on the GYX radar
in the western Maine foothills. Models haven't latched onto
this quite yet, but I have increased PoPs for light snow showers
in western ME spanning from the foothills into the Lakes Region
and Kenneb https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141127-KGYX-FXUS61-AFDGYX

097
FXUS64 KEPZ 141124
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
424 AM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 423 AM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

- We will see cooler temperatures on Saturday and Sunday with
highs running 3 to 5 degrees below average.

- There will be a chance for some light mountain rain or high
elevation snow showers Saturday evening.

- Temperatures look to remain slightl https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611141124-KEPZ-FXUS64-AFDEPZ

Wildfire Cam: Axis-BreckenridgePeak2 at 2026-11-14 11:24:35 https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/1854 #alertcalifornia

Wildfire Cam: Axis-SilverMountain1 at 2026-11-14 11:22:47 https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2609 #alertcalifornia

Wildfire Cam: Axis-MtLeeS at 2026-11-14 11:21:07 https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2177 #alertcalifornia