Ok, I was in a meeting where someone who’s pretty smart said they think AGI is five years away.

This strikes me as insane. What we have now isn’t even AI, it’s more like a predictive content-quilt assembler. I haven’t seen anyone lay out a clear path from this kind of content creation to other capabilities we’d expect of AGI: true creativity, moral reasoning or ability to handle outliers. These don’t seem like issues you can scale your way out of.

But experience tells me when it seems this easy to dismiss something smart people say, I need to at least consider the possibility that I don’t have all the information.

So, with that in mind, can someone point me to the case for how you might conclude that AGI is imminent? Thanks!

#ai
#AGI
#artificialintelligence
#technology
#futurism